Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets

Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets

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Business & Economics
格式 平装书
页数 368
语言 英语
已发布 Aug 23, 2005
出版商 Random House Trade Paperbacks
ISBN-10 0812975219
ISBN-13 9780812975215
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描述

Nassim Nicholas Taleb delves into the intricate relationship between luck and success in various spheres of life, particularly in finance and investing. Through a compelling narrative, he challenges the common perception of skill and expertise, revealing how much of what people attribute to talent is simply a product of random events. His engaging anecdotes and sharp insights serve to illustrate the often unseen forces of chance that shape outcomes, emphasizing the fallibility of human judgment and the dangers of overestimating one's knowledge.

The exploration leads readers to reconsider their understanding of risk and uncertainty—concepts that are frequently misinterpreted. Taleb argues that acknowledging randomness can foster a healthier relationship with uncertainty, ultimately guiding individuals towards more prudent decision-making. By blending philosophy with personal experience, he prompts readers to recognize the role of chance in their own lives, offering a transformative perspective on how they navigate the complex world around them.

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